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Infographic: Why wildfires are getting worse in Colorado and beyond

Categories: Environment

wildfire.infographic.205x205.jpg
Big infographic below.
Since the terribly destructive Black Forest and Royal Gorge blazes, which were brought under control last month, wildfires haven't made nearly as many headlines in Colorado. But with a couple of substantial fires ongoing in Western Colorado and the summer heat at its most intense, the danger isn't over -- which makes a new infographic from the Union of Concerned Scientists all the more timely. The UCS argues that climate change is increasing wildfire risk here and beyond. See the infographic and get additional details about the data behind it below.

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Learn More About Wildfires and Climate Change in the Western U.S.

Panel 1: Wildfires and Wildfire Season

The number of large wildfires -- defined as those covering more than 1,000 acres -- is increasing throughout the region. Over the past 12 years, every state in the Western U.S. has experienced an increase in the average number of large wildfires per year compared to the annual average from 1980 to 2000.

Wildfire season is generally defined as the time period between the year's first and last large wildfires. This infographic highlights the length of the wildfire season for the Western U.S. as a region. Local wildfire seasons vary by location, but have almost universally become longer over the past 40 years.

Panel 2: Rising Temperatures and Earlier Snowmelt

Temperatures are increasing much faster in the Western U.S. than for the planet as a whole. Since 1970, average annual temperatures in the Western U.S. have increased by 1.9° F, about twice the pace of the global average warming.

Scientists are able to gauge the onset of spring snowmelt by evaluating streamflow gauges throughout the Western U.S. Depending on location, the onset of spring snowmelt is occurring 1-4 weeks earlier today than it did in the late 1940s.

Panel 3: Future Projections

The projected increase in annual burn area varies depending on the type of ecosystem. Higher temperatures are expected to affect certain ecosystems, such as the Southern Rocky Mountain Steppe-Forest of central Colorado, more than others, such as the semi-desert and desert of southern Arizona and California. Every ecosystem type, however, is projected to experience an increase in average annual burn area.

The range of projected temperature increases in the Western U.S. by mid-century (2040 -- 2070) represents a choice of two possible futures -- from one in which we drastically reduce heat-trapping emissions (the projected low end of a lower emissions pathway) to a future in which we continue with "business as usual" (the projected high end of a higher emissions pathway).

The Science Behind the Infographic

The Western Wildfires and Climate Change infographic is based on careful evaluations of published scientific research and publicly accessible federal wildfire data.

Click to learn more about the methodology and assumptions behind the infographic.

More from our News archive circa June: "Update: Robin and Mark Herklotz ID'd as Black Forest fire victims, 509 homes destroyed."


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5 comments
dr.aardvark
dr.aardvark

You need to include tinder and amount of dry ignitable fuel on the ground. Every year the fires threaten homes, so response teams are called to put them out. The downside is you end up saving MORE tinder and ignitable fuel for NEXT year, which leads to greater and more dangerous fires.

mrwiizrd
mrwiizrd

What a ridiculously small sample size to draw such sweeping conclusions.  And the authors didn't even attempt to control for population and development growth, or even available ignitable fuel?

It doesn't take a genius to understand that the more wildfires are suppressed by human activity over time, the more severe and more frequent they'll occur irrespective of average temperature fluctuations.

"Climate change," whatever the heck that means depending on one's agenda, very well could be the cause of the increase in the number of widfire events, but this cherry-picked propoganda piece certainly doesn't provide any credible evidence supporting that conclusion whatsoever.

Regardless, I'm sure I'll see it prominently displayed in the DIA tram platform the next time I fly out.

michael.roberts
michael.roberts moderator editortopcommenter

@Todd Elsen Good point, Todd. Thanks.

michael.roberts
michael.roberts moderator editortopcommenter

@mrwiizrd Interesting points, mrwiizrd. Thanks for sharing your take.

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